I hate writing this. God do I hate writing it.
But Brett Kavanaugh is going to be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States. I don’t know what he’ll do from there. But I know he’s going to be confirmed.
Soon, most likely. Maybe in a week.
Right now, it doesn’t look good for him. He’s had two credible accusations of sexual assault against him, one in high school and one college.
Those horrific actions add to an already troubled nominee who has major questions regarding his finances, his record as Staff Secretary to George Bush, his reception of stolen emails, his possible perjury over those emails, and his troubling views on the lack of limits on presidential power.
All of that stuff was already known, and wasn’t going to make a difference in him being confirmed.
Now you’ve got two credible allegations that he sexually assaulted women while drunk. There are two others that haven’t even broken yet, but are being teased by Michael Avenatti.
And Kavanaugh is facing a hearing on Thursday, where one of his accusers, Dr. Christine Blasey Ford, will have something resembling her day in court, as Democratic senators put the boots to Kavanaugh and grill him about what he did.
It doesn’t matter. None of it matters. Because Brett Kavanaugh is going to be confirmed.
He’s going to be confirmed because Donald Trump will not allow himself to be bested by a woman, or women.
He’s going to be confirmed because withdrawing or rejecting his nomination in the face of accusations of sexual assault means Donald Trump’s own history of accusations of sexual assault would have to be examined. And that’s not happening.
He’s going to be confirmed because there’s no time to nominate and vet someone new before the midterms, and Republicans are terrified they’re going to lose the Senate. So it’s now or never.
He’s going to be confirmed because he’s likely the swing vote to overturn Roe V. Wade, and conservatives have been trying to gut Roe V. Wade for the last 40 years. They won’t give up the chance now, not when they’re so close.
He’s going to be confirmed because no Republican Senator is going to want to go home and tell their voters and donors why they knuckled under to Democratic smears and gave up the chance to take back SCOTUS.
He’s going to be confirmed because Republican Senators want to keep their jobs.
He’s going to be confirmed because the far right media machine is demanding it, and Donald Trump views the far right media machine as a shadow cabinet.
He’s going to be confirmed because the game is rigged.
He’s going to be confirmed because when Donald Trump is attacked, he digs in deeper and denies harder – both of which Kavanaugh has learned to do.
He’s going to be confirmed because Mitch McConnell is a monster who kept a Supreme Court seat open for a year just to screw Barack Obama.
He’s going to be confirmed because the people who have the power to reject him don’t care about anything other than continuing to have that power.
He’s going to be confirmed because he’s probably going to support the president in any legal action that reaches the Supreme Court, and Congressional Republicans have sold their sold to protect the president.
He’s going to be confirmed because privilege protects privilege, wealth protects wealth, and power protects power.
He’s going to be confirmed because Senate Republicans don’t believe the accusations against him, because they come from women and they came late in the game.
He’s going to be confirmed because Democrats didn’t show up in 2010, 2014, and 2016.
He’s going to be confirmed because if a 35+ year old allegation can take down a potential SCOTUS justice, it can take down anyone.
I wish none of this was true. But it’s all true.
Kavanuagh has the support of the president, the Senate, the conservative media, conservative voters, and conservative money. His opposition is strong and loud, but it’s not powerful enough to stop him.
Brett Kavanaugh is going to be confirmed.
If you don’t want it to happen again, vote in November.
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